Background
The "blue cutoff" refers to the minimum USAMO score required for 11th-grade students (non-seniors) to be invited to MOP in the blue group. This typically includes approximately the next 15 non-senior, non-Canadian finishers after the top scorers (who are placed in the "black" group).
Recent blue cutoffs:
2022: 18 points
2023: 30 points
2024: 21 points
The cutoff varies each year based on the difficulty of the USAMO problems and the performance distribution of participants.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the official blue cutoff score for the 2025 Mathematical Olympiad Program as announced by the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) or the American Mathematics Competitions (AMC).
If there are tiebreakers involved in determining the blue group (where not all students with the cutoff score receive invitations), the resolution will be the minimum score of students who received blue group invitations.