Background

The "blue cutoff" refers to the minimum USAMO score required for 11th-grade students (non-seniors) to be invited to MOP in the blue group. This typically includes approximately the next 15 non-senior, non-Canadian finishers after the top scorers (who are placed in the "black" group).

Recent blue cutoffs:

• 2022: 18 points

• 2023: 30 points

• 2024: 21 points

The cutoff varies each year based on the difficulty of the USAMO problems and the performance distribution of participants.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the official blue cutoff score for the 2025 Mathematical Olympiad Program as announced by the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) or the American Mathematics Competitions (AMC).

If there are tiebreakers involved in determining the blue group (where not all students with the cutoff score receive invitations), the resolution will be the minimum score of students who received blue group invitations.

• Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Update:

  • The market will now resolve based on the cutoff score after declines since the MAA does not officially announce cutoffs.

  • In the event of a tiebreak where some students with score X are let in and others are not, the market will resolve to score X.

CURRENT MOP CUTOFF: 27. We'll see how far it drops after declines.