Will less than 3 people have >1k YES shares?
48
36
950
resolved Apr 14
Resolved
NO

Does not include bots, someone with exactly 1k shares does not count as a person with >1k shares

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ3,871
2Ṁ526
3Ṁ487
4Ṁ349
5Ṁ130
Sort by:
predicted YES

wow I am confused about what happened in this market. Some people lost a lot of money by holding more than 1k shares. Yeses just not able to coordinate?

@PC I think they were bribed to hold 1k shares

predicted YES

@PC they lost $300+, so I don't understand how a $300 bribe would work

predicted NO

@PC I am paying them $600-800 in total. so they make $300 net

@PC

  1. Towards the end of the market it would be less then 300

  2. The person bribing them could have also payed for their shares

@tornado oh u beat me to it

predicted YES

haha I see, smart @tornado. I'm surprised that 8 people still ended up above 1000 shares. And I believe if yeses were able to coordinate, they would have made more money. Coordination problems though.

predicted YES

I'll give 350 mana to the first four people who sell down to 1,000 and who are now above 1,000. In other words, I'll beat your other offer by 50.

predicted YES

@AndrewHebb Should have made that offer before I had already committed. I'm not going to break a promise for 50 cents.

bought Ṁ613 of NO

@DeadRhino just to clarify, having 3 people holding 1001+ yes shares at closing will make the market resolve to No, correct?

bought Ṁ150 of NO

Message me if you can be my counter party and hold 1001 yes shares. I will arrange such that you make 300 Mana on the net.

predicted YES

@tornado message you how? And what exactly are you offering?

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@AndrewHebb 18 hours too late, people already took up the offer

predicted NO

I'm realizing now I didn't understand the premise of this market

predicted YES