Will average game time in 2024 MLB season be less than 2 hours and 42 minutes?

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Ṁ1988

resolved Oct 31

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YES

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MLB made several rule changes last year. As a result the average game time dropped by 20 minutes to 2 hours and 42 minutes in 2023, marking the lowest duration since 1984, and making the game a lot more interesting.

Will this trend continue, stabilize or revert in the 2024 season? If average game time is 2 hours and 42 minutes ot mo, this market resolves to no.

Resolution will be based on reported stats including post season such as https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/majors/misc.shtml and https://www.statista.com/statistics/1310998/mlb-game-length/

For context in this year:

https://www.npr.org/2023/11/02/1210088937/did-any-of-the-new-mlb-rules-this-season-make-a-difference-in-the-game

I may adjust resolution date as needed based on availability of reliable reports.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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This will in all likelihood resolve YES, but could yet resolve NO

The regular season average was 2:38, and with only a maximum of 45 games (or 3/162 of the regular season) the playoff games would need to average at least 5:23 to get to 2:42.

@R2D2sm5g @mods resolves YES (no playoff game got to 5:23); inactive creator

seems like an obvious copy of https://manifold.markets/10thOfficial/will-the-average-length-of-a-9innin-5d5aecd4b34d?play=true

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