WW3? Ray Dalio, knowitall majordomo of Bridgewater says odds went from 35% to 50%. What say you Manifold? Lower? Higher?
8
215Ṁ183resolved Dec 14
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%76%
Below 50%
17%
50%
6%
Above 50%
Seeing what the Manifold community thinks are the odds of major countries heading into a World War Conflict.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ51 | |
2 | Ṁ18 | |
3 | Ṁ11 | |
4 | Ṁ3 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?
18% chance
Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?
7% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
33% chance
Ray Dalio stock
Ṁ118
WWIII stock
Ṁ241