MANIFOLD
Kalshi Felt Tables before 2028
2
Ṁ100Ṁ20
2027
17%
chance

Before January 1, 2028, will a CFTC-designated contract market (DCM) operate or officially announce a physical location in California where members of the public can trade event contracts in person?” — Resolves YES based on a press release, news report, or SEC/CFTC filing. Doesn’t need to literally be blackjack, just any physical “trading floor” open to the public.

See https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-02-10/bond-trading-gets-cheaper

Market context
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