Huh, can someone explain to me the causality? Do traders think these two influence each other, or do people think there’s a third variable that influences both?

@ms This was created because someone told me they thought that if Biden signs the TikTok bill that'll be the moment he loses the 2024 election. I believe the purported connection is that it'll massively lower youth turnout, because they'll be so mad.

@DavidFWatson I like that there are a few other plausible correlations that push in different directions. Eg

TikTok bill success is a sign of…

…a well functioning Democrat party apparatus, as is a Biden win.

…a self-confident GOO that can tolerate bipartisan support for policy, suggestive of a Trump win.