How many of the 21 representatives below will be replaced in the 2024 election?
Basic
5
Ṁ363
Jan 2
5.2
expected

21 republican representatives are not voting for Kevin McCarthy for speaker at the time of this market's creation.

Seen here: https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/20237

or

Biggs Arizona

Bishop North Carolina

Boebert Colorado

Brecheen Oklahoma

Cloud Texas

Clyde Georgia

Crane Arizona

Donalds Florida

Gaetz Florida

Good Virginia

Gosar Arizona

Harris Maryland

Luna Florida

Miller Illinois

Norman South Carolina

Ogles Tennessee

Perry Pennsylvania

Rosendale Montana

Roy Texas

Self Texas

Spartz Indiana

I won't be changing this list.

This market will resolve to the number of these representatives who lose their seat to either a different republican or a democrat during the 2024 House of Representatives election.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules