Will our upcoming Twitch bot be a success?
52%
chance
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mqp avatar
Marshall Polaris
is predicting NO at 44%
mqp avatar
Marshall Polaris
is predicting NO at 44%
wasabipesto avatar
wasabipesto
is predicting NO at 30%
DavidChee avatar
SirSalty
is predicting YES at 30%
mqp avatar
Marshall Polaris
bought Ṁ250 of NO
DavidChee avatar
SirSalty
is predicting YES at 20%
wasabipesto avatar
wasabipesto
is predicting NO at 20%
DavidChee avatar
SirSalty
is predicting YES at 20%
wasabipesto avatar
wasabipesto
is predicting NO at 20%
littlebubulle avatar
littlebubulle
bought Ṁ20 of YES
Investing a 20 on this idea so I can keep track. I would be interested in this extension as I would like to create bets on some of my possible future streams.
DavidChee avatar
SirSalty
is predicting YES at 23%
@littlebubulle I'll reply to this when it is live! If you do end up using it let me know ur stream ^^
SneakySly avatar
Very cool, and I especially like the attention to detail in the resolution criteria!
horse avatar
Northernlion might be out of your price range, but he regularly uses Twitch's betting system for Super Auto Pets for number of wins in a run. It's 0-10, but as you know you can only bet on a single option, so no hedging. I don't know if it annoys other people but it bugs me, a MM extension would be an improvement in that regard. Also sounds like it would have the side benefit of potentially being visible in recordings for YouTube. Maybe you should sell M$ for bits.
DavidChee avatar
SirSalty
is predicting YES at 23%
@horse oh Nothernlion is a cool dude, never really interacted with him too much myself though. But definitely would consider sponsoring him to use it haha. Yeah selling Mana for bits is something I'd really like to do. Not sure exactly how legal/difficult it would be to set up. With regards to chatters being too spammy. Even though we would allow the chat bot to look for !create market commands from the streamer and mods in chat, we wont allow it for regular viewers. I think if they want to come on to manifold on a 2nd tab and add markets u wont get too much spam. And the bigger streamers can just make it a closed group and not let viewers join. Hopefully in the future though groups will have more structured hierarchy systems.
horse avatar
I don't know if "chatters can create markets and add them to the streamers group" is a good model, chatters are known for being spammy. I feel like some permission or moderation tools would have to be available for the streamer/group owner for that in particular to be a useful feature.
mqp avatar
Marshall Polaris
bought Ṁ400 of NO
I think even one of those criteria would be a stretch... I might put the probability lower, except that "huge streamer uses it" seems to me to be high variance. I can imagine a case where a big streamer tries it out once even if in general it doesn't seem to be succeeding, especially since I assume David has a lot of high profile streamer connections.
JamesGrugett avatar
James
bought Ṁ200 of NO
Great market and writeup! Good luck, and sorry for the skepticism.
DavidChee avatar
SirSalty
bought Ṁ50 of YES
@JamesGrugett that's weird. I'm trying to press what intuitively looks like a down vote button but nothing happens... is that a bug?
JamesGrugett avatar
James
is predicting NO at 36%
@DavidChee 🤣