Will our upcoming Twitch bot be a success?
45
760Ṁ11k
resolved Jan 30
Resolved
NO

We are currently in the process of creating an integration for Twitch!
I am a partnered Twitch streamer and use to stream full time for a living before joining Manifold. So this project is something I am very excited about - although am aware at how hard it can be to get streamers to try new products/extensions.

Aim

To make a product that is significantly better than Twitch's built in betting system. Both in how powerful it is, but also how easy and fun it is to use for streamers/mods who have to set it up and for viewers who are betting. In ordered to be useful to a Twitch community, we will have to make sure it can all be done from Twitch (and OBS for the streamer) without having to visit Manifold other than the initial signup and linking of accounts. Hopefully people will then join our site and use it for other interests, but that would be an added bonus.

Twitch Chat Bot

The bot looks through chat and makes bets on users behalf based on simple commands they type.
It can also be used to let users know their balance, if they won/lost bets, and can be potentially used by mods to help the streamer resolve questions without having to go onto Manifold.

Browser Source (on screen feed of Market)

The onscreen element will allow users to follow the action. It should show live updates of bets being made by which users and reflect the probability changing throughout the game/event users are betting on.

OBS custom dock

(btw this is taken from a video and is not me haha)
Streamer's already have infinite tabs and things they have to manage. For them to want to use Manifold they need a super convenient way to choose markets to feature. Having a custom dock in OBS makes this super easy, and will also allow members of chat to create markets and add them to the group which they can choose from or make one themself!

Summary

Overall, this is only a brief explanation of how it would work, but hopefully gives some insight that will help you make your predictions! I'm also writing a proposal doc on the follow up work I intend to do that I'll link here: (some examples for now: partner with tournaments and have them use this, sponsor streamers, use it on my own stream, create challenges that cause streamer communities/individuals to compete against each other to see collectively who can make more Mana).

Resolution Criteria

All of the following have to be met within three months of the bot launch date (official launch is with the SBB tournament on the 29th of OCT. This puts the resolution date at 29th of Jan 2023) for it to be YES. I will try to avoid partial resolutions.

  1. 500+ people link a Manifold to a Twitch account

  2. Ten streamers who were not paid/endorsed by Manifold use it regularly

  3. At least 20% of streamers who are paid to use it continue to do so after their paid contract expires.

There are a few additional exceptional cases that would make me resolve as YES even if not all of the above are met. Examples would include:

  • Large viral event (huge streamer uses it, A-tier article written about it, approached by large tournament organiser for a future partnership)

  • Resolution criteria barely missed, but majority of users become very active on Manifold itself in addition to Twitch.

  • The tool is just insanely good at decreasing the average user acquisition cost of sponsorships even if it is simply a marketing tool and doesn't gain additional traction beyond that.

    Close date updated to 2023-01-29 11:59 pm

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