Will I (Dave_9000ish) lose my mana in a ponzi scheme?
Basic
18
Ṁ2959
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

I put down 100. If I'm in the last five, I make back 120 as per the rules. If I'm not, but there are insufficient new entrants then I lose a portion of the 100 as there won't have been enough payouts.

Resolves at year end

https://manifold.markets/CodeandSolder/manifolds-first-completely-legal-po#GYMpIvImksgQFTZI4AvP

Manifold's first completely legal Ponzi Scheme! [>Ṁ20 000 PAID OUT!] [GET RICH QUICK]
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Hi, it seems that this will resolve in YES but just in case how much have you recouped?

@Dave_9000ish Thanks! Sorry for your losed mana

predicted NO

@Dave_9000ish well, you did make ~60 in trader bonuses here, by my math that's nearly profit lol

@CodeandSolder You are right! I did not thought of that, he assured its profit by creating this market

how much have you recouped so far?

@crowlsyong 45 mana

CodeandSolderboughtṀ10NO

If you lose some mana -doesn‘t matter how much- then this will resolve YES, right?

@gigab0nus correct. If at the end of the year the total payout is <100 then Resolves to YES

predicted NO

@Dave_9000ish What if you, personnaly buy enough shares that your total payout is > 100?

@SebastianWorms not putting any more in so somewhat moot. But I would count as a loss if I "invest" more than I get out

Not in the last five and won't be adding more, so it's now a case of "will I make back M100 just on payouts?

@Dave_9000ish 11 recouped so far

@Dave_9000ish M19 recouped so far

@Dave_9000ish M26 recouped so far

@Dave_9000ish M31 recouped so far

@Dave_9000ish M36 recouped so far

predicted NO

@Dave_9000ish Still 37 and no signups in the last 30 hours or so

@SebastianWorms odds are not looking good

@Dave_9000ish Can't believe I apparently bought no share because I read it as "Will I make my money back" -_-'

@Dave_9000ish 41 recouped so far