🏅 Top traders

@Panfilo The Fred Norris Lock of the Week (TM) can now resolve YES as was foretold.

Smart money seems to be in.

Does anyone think even a booker as bad as Anfernee Khan would put MJF over Jay White? This is a Fred Norris Lock of the Week (TM).

I have created a very distant cousin market. https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/will-roman-reigns-break-hulk-hogans?r=UGFuZmlsbw

Will Roman Reigns break Hulk Hogan's world championship reign record with his current WWE title reign?

59% chance. Resolves Yes if Roman Reigns is still on his current world championship title reign as of the end of April 7th, 2024. Notably, that date is also the second night of Wrestlemania 40. If there is any substantial ambiguity in the WWE storyline as to whether Hogan's record of 1,474 days was broken by Roman, this will resolve No.

I mean they also might hotshot Kenny. It's plausible.

@Panfilo Even Tony Khan isn't a bad enough booker to make his most bankable star lose so quickly, esp after being charged with allowing anti-Semitic sentiments on his tv. This is a free money market.

(Exactly what I thought about all the money I lost in Speaker markets. )

@FrederickNorris The anti-semitism angle was MJF's idea and it actually seemed interesting, it just had the worst luck of timing imaginable. I do wish the fall guy wasn't Juice though, he's supposed to be the fun kind of stupid.

@Panfilo I'm not complaining about the angle. Talk about timing though, it makes absolute ZERO POINT ZERO sense to take the title off MJF for a myriad of reasons, this being one.

@FrederickNorris My only hope is that this isn't AEW's version of when WWE made a liberal Muslim ex-cop the secret leader of Antifa.

@Panfilo Why didn't Adeel Alam got to AEW yet? Seems like he could be a real leader of the smaller guys that are over there. I'd love to see him beat up the YB.

@Panfilo MJF will defend his World title against Kenny Omega in a match announced during Wednesday's Dynamite episode. 

Omega interrupted an MJF segment and the match was set based on MJF being set to eclipse Omega's record AEW World title reign of 346 days. MJF has currently held the World title for 341 days.

@Panfilo They did not hotshot Kenny, although they've certainly cooled off MJF. The worst thing Tony could do now is take the strap off of him.

New AEW market

Looks like Jay White is the opponent for FG, and suddenly 81% felt a little high!

@Panfilo They are not putting the big title on the Switchblade. He should be a tag team wrestler. Tony is a terrible booker, and that's a fact.

There should be more wrestling markets!!

https://manifold.markets/FrederickNorris/will-roman-reigns-get-pinned-or-sub

Will Roman Reigns get pinned or submit on television between now and the end of 2023?

15% chance. Has to happen on television. A taped House Show result shown on TV would therefore count. A house show result mentioned on TV, but not shown, would not count. Joe Anoaʻi getting pinned under a different gimmick would not count. WWE Wrestlng Sports Entertainment market.