Higher, by a bit; p(doom) minimum is now 11% or more

Higher, by a lot; p(doom) minimum is now 15% or more

Lower, by a bit; p(doom) minimum is now 9% or less

Lower, by a lot; p(doom) minimum is now 5% or less

My current p(doom) is "10% to 40%." This makes market definitions a little confusing.  TO BE CLEAR: We're looking at the lower number here, and its trajectory as a result of spending time in the Bay Area.  So, for example, if my p(doom) is now "11% to 80%", that resolves as "Higher, by a bit"; if my p(doom) is now "16% to 20%", that resolves as "Higher, by a lot."

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ114
2		Ṁ34

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