🏅 Top traders

According to 538, Heat have 25% chance in Game 1, 27% game 2, 52% game 3, 53% game 4.

Odds they win all of these = 0.25*0.27*0.52*0.53 = 1.8%.

Nuggets 75%, 73%, 48%, 47%. Odds they win all four = 12%

So base rate before the series starts is somewhere around a 13% chance.

@KevinBurke assuming independence