Resolves YES if any current Democrat votes for any current Republican for Speaker in any ballot before the next permanent Speaker is elected.
Resolves NO if a new permanent Speaker is elected, and this has not happened.
Republicans who are not members of the House (e.g. Donald Trump) count for this. Will use most recent declared party affiliation for this.
"Next speaker" includes next congress, if no speaker is elected in this one.
Close date is an estimate, and will be extended as required.
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Dems all voted for Jeffries every time, per https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/10/17/us/politics/house-speaker-vote-tally.html
It is very unlikely that any Democrat will vote for any Republican for the next Speaker of the House. The current political climate is very polarized, and there is a high degree of partisan loyalty among both Democrats and Republicans.
Although there are a few factors that may make it more likely, like if the Republican nominee was seen as a moderate who was willing to work with Democrats. Another factor would be if the Democratic Party was deeply divided and unable to agree on a nominee of its own, it is still very unlikely for other reasons:
In the last 10 Speaker of the House elections, there have been only two instances of a member of Congress voting for a member of the opposite party for Speaker.
In the 2023 Speaker of the House election, all Democrats voted for their party's nominee, Hakeem Jeffries, and no Republicans voted for Jeffries.
A recent poll by the Pew Research Center found that only 3% of Democrats said they would be willing to vote for a Republican Speaker.
The chance is never 0, but it still seems unlikely, specially with the current political landscape in the US.