Will Donald Trump select a running mate for VP prior to July 15, 2024?
Will Donald Trump select a running mate for VP prior to July 15, 2024?
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1kṀ19kresolved Jul 15
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Official Campaign announcement of a VP prior to 7/15/24, resolves YES
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bought Ṁ100 YES9mo
Everything points to tonight being the night in my opinion. Trump's June Surprise.
“I’m going to do it in the convention,” Mr. Trump said in an interview with Dr. Phil McGraw, the television host and supporter of the former president.
He outlined a similar plan in an interview on Fox News. “I think I’ll announce who that person’s going to be during the convention,” Mr. Trump said. “I think that’s pretty normal, during the convention. It’ll be an interesting period of time.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/07/us/politics/trump-vp-running-mate.html
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.