Will china face an existential risk this year? Will the CCP face a credible threat to their continued existence? Will there be regime change? Will Xi Jinping get tossed?
17
360Ṁ5863resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
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Resolves yes if there is a major political shake up or if multiple talking heads are asking if china is going to make it. Or if I feel like their is a risk that they wouldn't make it.
To help calibrate. The jan 6th protests didn't seem like an existential risk to America at the time. But after a week or two I had changed my mind. Brexit is not an existential risk to Great Britain. The war in Ukraine is a risk to Ukraine but not currently russia. But could become a risk very quickly.
Aug 16, 11:15pm:
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