Will a non-coinflip "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July?
26
1kṀ44k
resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO

Since liquidity is returned to the creator upon resolution, some ground rules to prevent whale abuse:

  • Market must attract a minimum of 25 traders (this should be almost a given for a market with such huge liquidity)

  • Market should be about something legitimately predictive, ie, not just a true 50/50 coin flip

  • Market must not be intended or likely to resolve N/A (I'm not going to wait until resolution, but it should be clear)

  • Market must start with this liquidity, and not be upgraded to it after. I'll be a tiny bit lenient if it's immediately upgraded within an hour or so of creation, so the intent was to create a crystal market from the start.

Resolves YES if a market with Ṁ1M initial liquidity, or more, meeting these criteria is created by the end of July. This includes by Manifold itself. It also includes if Manifold renames things away from "Crystal", or introduces different tiering, as long as the initial liquidity is Ṁ1M or greater.

Resolves NO otherwise.

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