In which FOMC meeting will the FED pivot (lower interest rates)?
24
249
αΉ€1.4K
2025
0.8%
Apr/May 30-1
8%
June 11-12
20%
July 30-31
24%
September 17-18
15%
November 6-7
13%
December 17-18
1.4%
Unscheduled Meeting
18%
No pivot before 2025

A more granular version of /DanMan314/when-will-fed-pivot-lower-interest

If the FED has an emergency meeting and lowers rates, resolves to "Unscheduled Meeting". If they do not pivot before 2025, resolves to "No pivot before 2025". Otherwise, resolves to the first FOMC meeting in which they announce a lowering of the target federal fund rate.

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with inflation still 3.75% (past 12 months excluding food and fuel) or 6.9% (annualizing the last 2 months, excluding food and fuel) and unemployment still sub 4% any rate cut would be totally indefensible