How will the 34 felony counts of Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial proportionately resolve?
Standard
22
Ṁ3772resolved May 30
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%98.2%
Guilty
0.8%
Not Guilty
0.8%
Hung Jury
0.1%
Dropped
0.1%
Dismissed
Close date may be extended as long as the outcome is unclear.
This market will resolve proportionately to how each of the 34 felony counts in Donald Trump's hush money trial resolve.
For example, if Trump is ruled guilty on 17, not guilty on 4, hung on 8, and 5 are dropped, this would resolve 50% Guilty, 11% Not Guilty, 24% Hung, 15% Dropped, and 0% Dismissed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Pjfkh Hmm that's a good callout. I think I will still resolve it to guilty, but I wish I would have split it out in retrospect.
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