How will the 34 felony counts of Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial proportionately resolve?
US PoliticsPoliticsTrumpTrial of the Century
Basic
22
Ṁ3.8k
resolved May 30
100%98.2%
Guilty
0.8%
Not Guilty
0.8%
Hung Jury
0.1%
Dropped
0.1%
Dismissed

Close date may be extended as long as the outcome is unclear.

This market will resolve proportionately to how each of the 34 felony counts in Donald Trump's hush money trial resolve.

For example, if Trump is ruled guilty on 17, not guilty on 4, hung on 8, and 5 are dropped, this would resolve 50% Guilty, 11% Not Guilty, 24% Hung, 15% Dropped, and 0% Dismissed.

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If the Judge puts aside the jury verdict will this resolution be changed?

Is there any legal route for the charges to reduce to misdemeanour (ie without the step up conditions being found to have been met)?

@Pjfkh Hmm that's a good callout. I think I will still resolve it to guilty, but I wish I would have split it out in retrospect.

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