
When do we see peak Falcon?
8
1kṀ15712031
4%
2024
31%
2025
33%
2026
10%
2027
7%
2028
5%
2029
5%
2030
5%
When will SpaceX fly the highest number of Falcon 9 flights in a calendar year?
Falcon Heavy not included.
Resolution
Resolves to the year with the most flights. Flights with a mishap count, so long as it launched from the pad.
To capture the lifetime peak year, we would need to wait until Falcon 9 is cancelled, in order to know there won't be a later resurgence in flights.
In practice, we'll actually resolve once annual flights have decreased from the previous year, so long as SpaceX signals that they expect an even lower number for the upcoming year.
Will be extended, if needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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