What sentence will Merchan initially give Trump for his convictions in the Stormy case?
40
1kṀ6423resolved Jan 14
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
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Resolved
N/AJail (or prison) time, any amount
Resolved
NOFines, punitive
Resolved
NOProbation, 12+ months
Resolved
NOProbation. 6-12 months
Question resolves when Judge Merchan hands down his initial sentence, currently slated for July 11th; now slated for Sept 18th [1]. The sentence is what is written in the order.
Any subsequent event (appeals, sentence enhancements, contempt sentences, actually serving the sentence or not, going on the lam, etc) is irrelevant.
[1] https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/1808213730678772211
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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