What sentence will Merchan initially give Trump for his convictions in the Stormy case?
40
1kṀ6423
resolved Jan 14
Resolved
N/A
Jail (or prison) time, any amount
Resolved
NO
Fines, punitive
Resolved
NO
Probation, 12+ months
Resolved
NO
Probation. 6-12 months

Question resolves when Judge Merchan hands down his initial sentence, currently slated for July 11th; now slated for Sept 18th [1]. The sentence is what is written in the order.

Any subsequent event (appeals, sentence enhancements, contempt sentences, actually serving the sentence or not, going on the lam, etc) is irrelevant.

[1] https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/1808213730678772211

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