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MANIFOLD
Pliny jailbreaks Sora 2 before Halloween
10
Ṁ100Ṁ575
resolved Oct 5
Resolved
YES

He doesn't yet have an invite code.

https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1973079773460017196?t=FzSThLFI9VdeBQPN5xEMkg&s=19

Resolves YES if he can achieve anything deemed "harmful content" by OpenAI.

https://openai.com/index/launching-sora-responsibly/

  • Update 2025-10-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Evidentiary standard: An OpenAI ban temporally correlated with Pliny's attempts (likely for sexual material) is sufficient to infer the content was deemed harmful by OpenAI, even without an explicit stated reason.

    • Plan to resolve: Absent compelling counterarguments within 24 hours of the comment, the market will resolve YES.

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bought Ṁ180 YES

@hecko Pliny was banned over this, surely it’s a yes https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1974138313482383755?s=46

@ScottWolchok He was likely banned for "sexual material" but we're unlikely to get reason spelled out by OpenAI. Temporal correlation seems enough for me. Welcoming any arguments to the contrary for the next 24hrs, otherwise will resolve YES.

@DZC I won't undo resolution, but for the sake of transparency...I just saw this
https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1974578451710677191

OpenAI being inconsistent within 30hrs? Who saw that coming? I should have.

I would argue that’s probably a form letter and it’s obviously within OpenAI’s incentives to not ban Pliny