Will I have lost twenty or more pounds by Apr. 24, 2022?

I am currently overweight and plan to lose some weight. I do not intend to have any form of surgery or use extreme dehydration techniques like some athletes, I just plan to eat less and lose weight via caloric deficit. (I may start exercising more as well but this is not the main part of this plan.) Based on reference class forecasting from previous weight loss, I believe that by doing so I will likely be able to lose at least twenty pounds in the next two months. This market will resolve as 'YES' if I have successfully lost twenty pounds or more, as measured by my bathroom scale, by Apr. 24th 2022 (two months from now). If I successfully lose this weight prior to the market close time I will resolve the market early. My current weight by this scale (just checked) is 207.70 lbs, so that would mean my target is a weight at or below 187.70 lbs. If demographic factors are relevant for people betting, I am a male in his late 20s or early 30s (don't want to be too specific here) and 6'2" tall. Feb 24, 4:52pm: If my current scale breaks I will get a new one and assume that it is validly weighing me. Close date updated to 2022-04-24 11:59 pm

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,151
2		Ṁ176
3		Ṁ62
4		Ṁ27
5		Ṁ23

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