Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 230 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
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This market tracks Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing).
Measurement date: May 31, 2026
Resolution:
YES if: Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) ≥ 230 million tonnes on 2026-05-31
NO if: Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) < 230 million tonnes on 2026-05-31
Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources reports, Roskill supply chain studies
Indonesia reduced its 2026 RKAB quota to 250-260 million tonnes, potentially removing up to 7-8% of expected global nickel ore supply this year.
Rationale: Indonesia's cut on the mining work-plan quota reduces global nickel supply, affecting the raw ore availability for smelters, and tightening the market.
Source: Article
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