Will the Indonesian islanders successfully sue Holcim in Switzerland?

Question

Based on https://www.linkedin.com/posts/billbaue_indonesia-islanders-file-climate-lawsuit-activity-7026602206627786752-ar68

The case was not settled and has now passed to a Swiss Civil Court

This will resolve yes if any of the claims are upheld against Holcim.

This will resolve no if none of the claims are resolved against Holcim.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 16% chance (5 traders, as of Jan 16, 2024).

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