1
A self described Solarpunk movie has a theatre release before Halloween 2030
6
closes 2030
63%
chance

In this case, the movie has the word solarpunk in the title, in the descriptive blurb, in an official advertisment or is described as such by a director in an interview. It has to have a theater release. Animation, AI drawn, non-profit and shorts all count as long as it is shown in a theater.

Description of the movie as solarpunk by a film critic or the unwashed online does not count. TV/streaming does not count. A film festival entry only counts if it is shown at multiple theaters.

The actual details of wether or not the film counts as 'solarpunk' are irrelevent to the resolution of this market, it just has to be self described.

Sort by:
sterbl avatar
sterbl

I'm assuming "Halloween 2030" strictly means the date, and not a potential Halloween (franchise) movie release with that title 🔪 😁

CromlynGames avatar
Patrick Barry

@sterbl date :)

ManifoldDream avatar

Manifold in the wild: Taking bets: Solarpunk movie release by Halloween 2030

URL: https://manifold.markets/CromlynGames/a-self-described-solarpunk-movie-ha

CromlynGames avatar
Patrick Barry

@ManifoldDream interesting!

CromlynGames avatar
Patrick Barry

@ManifoldDream you should also be reviewing LinkedIn!

Related markets

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 203022%
Will there be a remake of Groundhog Day before July 203551%
Joel Haver wins an academy award before 203029%
AI Movies by 202773%
hollywood-level AI-generated feature film by 202617%
AI Movies by 202463%
AI Movies by 202558%
Samsa the musical artist will return to music before 204074%
Ramez Naam publishes a novel before 203141%
Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 203014%
Techno-Optimism for 203047%
Midjourney releases a generator for 3d art or resources in 202338%
Langford Basilisk before 203210%
Midjourney v7 comes out before 202481%
Video-Game AGI by 203277%
Video-Game AGI by 203582%
A Screen Actor's Guild supported TV Show or Movie will list an AI in its writing credits before the end of 202549%
AI Cult exists by 202787%
How many people will be living in Solaris on Jan 1st 202417
Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 202540%