MANIFOLD
Browse
About
App
Sign up
Get
1,000
to start trading!
Share with friends
Dark
Light
(auto)
Sign in
Open options
Which party will win the Caerphilly by-election on 23 October 2025?
Jon Creagle
8
1k
Ṁ1278
Oct 23
Open options
Oldest
37%
Plaid Cymru
Yes
No
Open options
45%
Reform UK
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Labour
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Conservative
Yes
No
Open options
3%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Politics
Elections
UK politics
Wales
Follow
Sign up
Get
1,000
to start trading!
Comments
8 Holders
17 Trades
Open options
Related questions
Scroll to top
© Manifold Markets, Inc.
•
Terms
•
Privacy
Browse
Explore
About
Sign in
1,000 to start trading!1,0001,000