In 2025, will more Americans relocate due to the 2024 US election than will relocate in 2037 due to the Year 2038 Bug?
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2038
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Definition of “Relocate”: For this question, “relocate” means Americans moving their primary residence from the United States to another country (emigration) due to specific concerns.

Determining “Due To”: Relocations must be primarily motivated by fears or concerns related to either the 2024 U.S. presidential election or the Year 2038 bug. Evidence can include self-reported reasons in immigration applications, surveys, news reports, or official statements.

Time Frames:

2025 Relocations: Moves occurring within the calendar year 2025 due to concerns about the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

2037 Relocations: Moves occurring within the calendar year 2037 due to concerns about the impending Year 2038 bug.

Brief Description of the Year 2038 Bug: The Year 2038 problem is a potential computing issue that will occur on January 19, 2038, when 32-bit computer systems using Unix time representation will exceed their maximum value. This overflow could cause software errors and system failures unless systems are updated.

Data Sources and Resolution Criteria: The outcome will be determined by analyzing emigration statistics, self-reported reasons for relocation, and credible reports from official agencies or reputable media outlets. The side with the higher number of documented relocations due to the specified reasons will be considered as having more people relocate due to that concern.

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