Will the Monarch (Danaus plexippus) become extinct in the current century?
10
260Ṁ3562099
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if the Monarch Butterfly is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100. Note: The market is about the Monarch Butterfly species, regardless of subspecies.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monarch_butterfly
IUCN red list of threatened species: Least Concern
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/159971/219149911
Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the migratory monarch butterfly be declared extinct by 2028?
14% chance
Will the Giant Panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) become extinct in the current century?
25% chance
Will the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct in the current century?
54% chance
Will the Leopard (Panthera pardus) become extinct in the current century?
27% chance
Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century?
20% chance
Will the Red Panda (Ailurus fulgens) become extinct in the current century?
19% chance
Will the Galápagos Pink Land Iguana (Conolophus marthae) become extinct in the current century?
87% chance
Will the Tiger (Panthera tigris) become extinct in the current century?
21% chance
Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century?
38% chance
Will the California Condor (Gymnogyps californianus) become extinct in the current century?
37% chance