Amur Leopard (​​Panthera pardus orientalis) extinct by 2100?
40%
chance

This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Amur Leopard, a subspecies of the Leopard that is classified as Critically Endangered on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2008). Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and cultivated individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Amur Leopard persists.

For more information about the species, see:

IUCN assessment

Wikipedia

iNaturalist

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules