Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ93Sep 30
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Two Jacob Co??n’s in AI safety — It hasn’t happened yet, but I feel like it’s bound to…
Resolves YES if this unambiguously happened (eg someone sending me an email that was clearly meant for Jacob Coxon). Resolves 50% if it’s something more marginal / unclear (like if someone misspeaks). Resolves NO if I have no evidence this happened by the end of the month.
I will be excluding any efforts that I suspect were done to manipulate this market.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!