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MANIFOLD
Will my cleaned-up "nice numbers" video have at least 2800 views on January 25?
13
αΉ€600αΉ€1.7k
resolved Jan 26
Resolved
NO

The old version, a submission to the Summer of Math Exposition 3 contest in summer 2023 with horrible audio quality in certain places, achieved over 28,000 views in its first month, but then flatlined. I removed some of the most unlistenable sections and re-recorded the first few minutes, and reuploaded the video after a delay of over a year.

Blog post about the situation: https://tinyurl.com/confluxblog/post/my-unlistenable-youtube-video-got-28-706-views

Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FO3XBTDG7GY

Graph for the old one:

And here's retention β€” new:

old:

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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At 2:00 the calculation doesn’t account for leading zeros. I believe it should be 9*9! instead of 10!

bought αΉ€400 NO

stagnation in the 700s