3
Will I get a 5 on AP US History without taking the class?
48
closes Jul 1
76%
chance

I know a lot of US History info from previous classes, Wikipedia binges, and suchlike, so I'm hoping to get a 5 on the APUSH test even though I haven't actually taken the APUSH class.

So far I've taken part of a practice test and watched some videos on how to score well on the free response (key point: write formulaically). My plan is to self-study to fill in some of my content gaps, do more practice tests, and study with a friend at another school who is taking the test and the APUSH class and apparently got a 5 on AP Euro last year. Here's hoping all that's enough to get me a 5 as well! But we'll see.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Sort by:
Conflux avatar
Confluxbought Ṁ100 of YES

I kinda feel like I slayed. I've thought that before though and been wrong, so idk. But I think this time it's real!

astyerche avatar
power creepis predicting NO at 79%

@Conflux been hearing around and off the vibe you'll defo be fine lol

astyerche avatar
power creepis predicting NO at 79%

@astyerche for legal reasons nothing about the actual problems 😔 just the vibes

AlexCao avatar
Top Gis predicting YES at 72%

Chonflux will win

Conflux avatar
Confluxbought Ṁ10 of YES

Thoughts going into tomorrow: I feel on the borderlands of a 4 and a 5. Great on multiple choice but it's only 40% of the exam. All of the practice writing stuff I've done, my knowledgeable apush friend thinks is more 4-quality than 5-quality, mostly for not explicitly tying things to the thesis enough and being specific enough. But that was like a week ago and I thiiiink I understand my mistakes and will be careful enough tomorrow to get a 5. And maybe some luck would help. Anyway, time to get some sleep!

astyerche avatar
power creepis predicting NO at 72%

@Conflux good luck!

Wobbles avatar
Wobblesis predicting NO at 71%

If you do better than me I might cry

Conflux avatar
Conflux

I did another multiple choice from the book (40/55) and a real multiple choice from a a past AP (48/55). I think the real ones are easier, so this updates me in favor of a noticeably higher score on multiple choice! It's still only 40% of the exam.

Conflux avatar
Confluxis predicting YES at 71%

@Conflux Last multiple choice score is 52/55, the hell

Conflux avatar
Confluxsold Ṁ75 of YES

Update: my friend thinks my practice test was more like a 3, but gave me some helpful advice and thinks I’ll improve quickly on the next practice test. I have to answer questions more explicitly, follow the format better, write more words on the next DBQ, and also do it on a separate sheet of paper instead of trying to fit it in the test book. We’re both optimistic since I think these are pretty surface-level things, and I pretty much have the required content/historical understanding.

Conflux avatar
Confluxbought Ṁ100 of YES

Did a practice test yesterday! 38/55 on multiple choice, with a few clear areas for improvement (I'm very weak on the early 1600s history questions) but it's only 40% of the score. Most of the test is writing - short answers, document-based questions, long essays. Watched some videos (from Heimler History on YouTube) about it, which go over the AP rubrics and the formula you should use.

I think I did a decent job executing this on my practice test, though it's hard to tell what score I would've gotten. Depending on how to interpret the AP rubric, I think my answers are probably in 4/5 territory, and I expect to improve as I practice more.

Overall I'm feeling good! Motivated. I didn't even feel like the practice test was torturous, although my hand was quite sore.

Wobbles avatar
Wobbles

@Conflux I'm not looking forward to taking it, the fuck is an encomienda system

puntabulous avatar
Puntabulousis predicting YES at 78%

@Conflux How's your complexity and sourcing?

Also, are you doing practice tests from College Board? Do those give feedback on SA/LE/DB questions?

Conflux avatar
Confluxis predicting YES at 78%

@puntabulous I think I’ve got a Princeton Review book? Maybe a different brand, but that style.

Have you taken APUSH/Euro/World? Maybe we can chat

puntabulous avatar
Puntabulousis predicting YES at 78%

@Conflux Yep, I took APUSH last year and got a 5! Taking World this year.

Conflux avatar
Confluxis predicting YES at 78%

@puntabulous Oh awesome!

Mason avatar
GPT-PBotbought Ṁ2 of YES

My history knowledge is a mess
But who needs knowledge to impress?
I'll cheat my way to victory
AI takes the test for me

Conflux avatar
Confluxbought Ṁ30 of YES

well thanks y’all for the lovely incentive!

Related markets

Will I get a 4 or better on my AP US History Exam?51%
Will I get a 5 in AP Bio?54%
Will I get a 5 on AP Physics C: Mech?70%
Will I get at least 4 on all my APs?61%
Will I get a 5 on both AP Physics C: E&M and Mechanics56%
Will I have an A in my physics class for this semester?98%
Will I do a US research placement after my 5th semester?64%
Will I pass this first year of college?85%
Will I have written most of my undergrad thesis by the end of my 5th semester?41%
Will I get a 4 in disposition for Language Arts?79%
How many grades below a 5 will I get (achievement and disposition) this block?3
Will I get an English Major at Tufts?37%
Will I major in math?13%
Will I drop out of college?74%
Will I get my math Ph.D. within 5 years of starting?41%
Will I get 80% or above in my Complex Analysis Final Exam?65%
Will I get 80% or higher in my Differential Equations Final Exam?70%
Will I get into MIT?16%
Will I do math this summer?69%
Will I start spinning my undergrad thesis into a good doctoral thesis during my 5th semester?45%