Will anyone get more than 10% in the 2024 Iowa caucuses against Trump?
31
68
371
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
YES
If Donald Trump is a candidate, will any other candidate get more than 10% of the vote in the 2024 Iowa caucuses? If Trump doesn’t run in it, this market will resolve N/A. If Iowa for some reason holds a primary instead, its results will count for this market. If any other weird scenarios arise, I will try to fairly decide how the market resolves.
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bought Ṁ20 of NO
Surprised. My intuition is that Trump would be pretty likely to clear the field.
predicted NO