Will anyone get more than 10% in the 2024 Iowa caucuses against Trump?
74%
chance
Feb 29, 2024
M$141 bet
If Donald Trump is a candidate, will any other candidate get more than 10% of the vote in the 2024 Iowa caucuses? If Trump doesn’t run in it, this market will resolve N/A. If Iowa for some reason holds a primary instead, its results will count for this market. If any other weird scenarios arise, I will try to fairly decide how the market resolves.
Conflux

Conflux bought M$20 of NO19 days ago

Surprised. My intuition is that Trump would be pretty likely to clear the field.