Will any of these 10 pundits apologize by end of August for calling for Biden to drop out?
Sep 1

Many political commentators and pundits (who previously supported Biden) have called for Biden to drop out immediately following the debate. However, Democratic politicians have stuck by Biden publicly so far, creating the impression that maybe the preference cascade will stop at pundits. Will it reverse enough that someone apologizes?

The pundits (I based the list entirely on this Politico article):

  1. Tom Nichols

  2. Ron Brownstein

  3. Franklin Foer

  4. Nicholas Kristof

  5. Paul Krugman

  6. Thomas Friedman

  7. Maureen Dowd

  8. David Axelrod

  9. David Plouffe

  10. David Ignatius

An apology must happen before Election Day to count. I will use best judgement to determine what counts as apologizing. Saying "I regret calling for Biden to drop out" would count; I won't require that they literally say they were sorry.

I will be going based off what is linked in the comments of this market. If an apology is not linked there, I may miss it!

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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