I'll pick a random person from the "top creators" tab in the Proofniks group (similar to Connor's methodology on https://manifold.markets/ConnorHuh/will-an-undisclosed-person-vote-yes-ff65d47df7ce). No one besides me, including them, will know who they are until the market resolves. It could be me.
If the sum of this person's bet amounts on this market after a week is odd, this market will resolve YES. If even, it resolves NO. Zero, famously, is even.
I promise not to bet after my initial $1 investment.
Edit: Reversing my bet because it was the wrong way. #teamodd
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ49 | |
| 2 | Ṁ27 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ11 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
@Yev Sorry for ambiguity. It should count as an odd total of M$3, because buying and selling are both bets.
@Conflux (Though note that since the person is from a predefined list of 16, it functionally doesn't matter.)
@Conflux (Well, I guess technically it would if someone else made a popular market in that category. That hasn't happened, though, and it shouldn't.)
