Will an undisclosed person bet an odd total amount on this market?
18
350Ṁ353
resolved Nov 15
Resolved
YES

I'll pick a random person from the "top creators" tab in the Proofniks group (similar to Connor's methodology on https://manifold.markets/ConnorHuh/will-an-undisclosed-person-vote-yes-ff65d47df7ce). No one besides me, including them, will know who they are until the market resolves. It could be me.

If the sum of this person's bet amounts on this market after a week is odd, this market will resolve YES. If even, it resolves NO. Zero, famously, is even.

I promise not to bet after my initial $1 investment.

Edit: Reversing my bet because it was the wrong way. #teamodd

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predictedYES

It was literally Connor!

predictedNO

You made 2 bets on this market: M$1 on YES (which you sold) and M$1 on NO (which you didn't sell). Does this mean your total is M$2?

predictedYES

@Yev Sorry for ambiguity. It should count as an odd total of M$3, because buying and selling are both bets.

Have you already picked them, or are you going to pick them at market close?

predictedYES

@Yev I've already picked them - I couldn't resist the dramatic irony.

predictedYES

@Conflux (Though note that since the person is from a predefined list of 16, it functionally doesn't matter.)

predictedYES

@Conflux (Well, I guess technically it would if someone else made a popular market in that category. That hasn't happened, though, and it shouldn't.)

Will an undisclosed person bet an odd total amount on this market?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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