I will resolve this in 3 days, on July 24! Add answers.
I ask that you not bet if you know the answer (e.g. if you are also on the Manifold Core Team).
I will N/A any answers which are obviously true or false. For instance, I am writing Manifold newsletters, and am a moderator and partner, but that was known.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Alright! The main thing I was referring to is that I’ve been writing some (not all) of the tweets on the Manifold Twitter (X) account. (I considered this “not publicly announced” even though I guess it’s findable if you look through the Manifold Notion…)
Here are some of mine:
sadly not the goat tweet, the Elon tweets, etc
a fun game might be guessing who wrote which tweets! though there are actually a few people who tweet as Manifold, it’s not just me and David
@duck_master is this meant to be different from being a Mod? Conflux has been a mod for quite a while now