How will I do at the 2024 American Crossword Puzzle Tournament?
21
291
2.6K
resolved Apr 7
Resolved
NO
Correctly solve all seven puzzles error-free
Resolved
NO
Correctly solve the notorious Puzzle 5
Resolved
YES
Have fun
Resolved
NO
Win the Rookies division
Resolved
NO
Win the Juniors division
Resolved
NO
Win the West regional division
Resolved
NO
Win Division C
Resolved
NO
Win Division B
Resolved
NO
Win Division A (the whole thing)
Resolved
NO
Top-3 the Rookies division
Resolved
NO
Top-3 the Juniors division
Resolved
NO
Top-3 Division C
Resolved
NO
Top-3 Division B
Resolved
NO
Top-3 Division A (the whole thing)
Resolved
NO
Top-10 Division A (the whole thing)
Resolved
NO
Place in the top 20%
Resolved
NO
Place in the top 40%
Resolved
YES
Place in the top 65%
Resolved
NO
Win any cash prize
Resolved
NO
Win any cash prize or trophy

I'm going to the ACPT (in Stamford, Connecticut) this year; I'm very excited! I haven't done practice puzzles yet so I'm not sure how good I am. My intuition, though, is that my speed will be competitive, but I'm not consistent enough — I think I'm at high risk of making errors or failing to finish one or more puzzles.

I plan to do some preparation (including historical ACPTs). I may post some info in the comments so y'all can calibrate.

Resolves N/A if I end up not competing.

https://www.crosswordtournament.com/info/history.htm (past winner info)

https://www.crosswordtournament.com/info/brochure.htm (contest info)

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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I bet Yes on the only two options that resolved Yes and didn't bet on anything else. They were the two most likely for sure, but still cool

Remained exactly at rank 360 with the last puzzle scored! Out of around 750 contestants, this puts me narrowly in the top half. Better than average!

Ranked 360 after the first six. Utterly failed to solve Puzzle 5. Just solved puzzle 7, got one square wrong I believe but everything else right (and everything right on puzzles 12346). Fun puzzles! This market was rather hubristic of me to make, haha…

@Conflux Competition is wonderful isn’t it?

Currently ranked 260/775 for the first two puzzles. ~67th percentile but wouldn’t be winning anything. Error free so far I think! Having fun so far.

https://crosswordtournament.com/2024/index.htm (I’m Jacob Cohen, contestant 118)

reposted

This weekend!

bought Ṁ20 Top-3 the Juniors di... NO

Oh, I’ve done some practicing in the last month. I now think that if I won the whole thing, it’d be absurd. All the top players live in the West division, and there are some strong Juniors, so my best shot is probably Rookies - though sometimes there are strong people in that category too. Not sure if I can solve all the puzzles error-free, that’ll be something to watch since I think it could maybe go either way? (Though I bet I’ll make one or two errors or DNFs. Puzzle five is scary)

@Conflux I know nothing about crossword tournaments but I know about competition in other fields. Winning any contest that a dozen others care about on your first try is indeed almost unheard of.

So, I did the pacer puzzle on their website (about which they claim “If you can complete it in 15 minutes, you would be competitive at the tournament. A time of under 10 minutes would be excellent.”) in 9:21, with one error. (ACPT punishes errors quite harshly; a single wrong square would cost you the equivalent of eight minutes if I’m interpreting the scoring correctly.) However, that puzzle was from 2014 and it felt somewhat dated (and I got stuck for a few of the minutes), so I think this data point underestimates my chances.

Unfortunate thing about previous competitions - they’re behind a paywall. So I might just practice on the daily NYT puzzles (but ideally printed out, since ACPT is paper solving - I do have experience paper solving).

some easy arbitrage opportunities here…

bought Ṁ5 of Win a side event NO

dunno who that dan feyer guy but he might just win

@TheBayesian Dan Feyer is pretty good…

other fears of mine include (but are not limited to) Tyler Hinman, Paolo Pasco, and Adam Aaronson

@Conflux Dan, Paolo, and Tyler are all from the West division like me💀

I’m guessing by the prizes that this is a competition where at least hundreds show up?

@voodoo I think so - you can look at past results on the site

You’ve never competed before?

@voodoo Correct