Did @NicoAlberti bribe @Austin with real money to say “arson”?
Proofniks
14
193
Ṁ250
resolved May 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves to my belief in a week or when I'm >90% confident. (Whichever happens first.)

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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bought Ṁ100 of NO

Haven't heard any evidence yet - might ask around more but the default resolution is NO, I guess

Honestly surprised this market hasn't converged yet

predicted YES

@Conflux not many bettors

@NicoAlberti I just assumed someone would know and then move the market

that SOMEONE could be you btw

predicted YES

well, that would feel scummy

@NicoAlberti it would answer my questionnnn

predicted YES

@Conflux where is the fun in that

predicted NO

@NicoAlberti the fun is that I get to know the answer!!

bought Ṁ10 of YES

i would neveer

@NicoAlberti the words of someone who HAS NOT BET

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@NicoAlberti That's not what you said on the original market

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Resolution-wise, is it whatever happens first or last?

@JoshuaB First

@Conflux Edited description

What is the context for this?

@JosephNoonan

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