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MANIFOLD
Will Ye / Kanye West perform in St. Petersburg on both 10 and 11 October 2026, as planned?
35
Ṁ1kṀ13k
resolved Oct 10
Resolved
NO

This market resolves to YES if Ye (Kanye West) performs live concerts in St. Petersburg, Russia, on both October 10, 2026, and October 11, 2026, as scheduled. It resolves NO otherwise.

Clarifications:

  • A qualifying "live concert" requires Ye to be physically present on stage and performing his music.

  • If either of the scheduled shows is canceled, postponed to a date outside of the October 10–11, 2026 window, or if Ye fails to perform on both of these consecutive nights for any reason, this market will resolve to NO.

  • If one concert occurs but the other is canceled, cut short before starting, or postponed, this market resolves to NO.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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bought Ṁ2,000 NO

resolves NO: concert was cancelled as remarked by other users. it's now 1AM in st. petersburg on Oct. 11 so per resolution criteria ("and"), market resolves NO (as he did not perform on oct 10) @CommanderKeen

Wait, why is this suddenly so low, did something happen?

@CommanderKeen On the day of your comment the organizer had confirmed the concert is not taking place.

And after the "rumours" that someone in the Russian government didn't like Kanye because of his politics, it's been pretty clear there's no chance of this happening

Plausible he'll do a nazi salute during the performance