
This market resolves to YES if Ye (Kanye West) performs live concerts in St. Petersburg, Russia, on both October 10, 2026, and October 11, 2026, as scheduled. It resolves NO otherwise.
Clarifications:
A qualifying "live concert" requires Ye to be physically present on stage and performing his music.
If either of the scheduled shows is canceled, postponed to a date outside of the October 10–11, 2026 window, or if Ye fails to perform on both of these consecutive nights for any reason, this market will resolve to NO.
If one concert occurs but the other is canceled, cut short before starting, or postponed, this market resolves to NO.
@CommanderKeen On the day of your comment the organizer had confirmed the concert is not taking place.
And after the "rumours" that someone in the Russian government didn't like Kanye because of his politics, it's been pretty clear there's no chance of this happening