Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a mass casualty event occurs during Moscow's Victory Parade on May 9, 2025. A mass casualty event is defined as an incident resulting in 10 or more fatalities. The event must take place during the parade or within its immediate vicinity and timeframe. Official reports from reputable news organizations or statements from Russian authorities will serve as the primary sources for resolution.

Background

Moscow's Victory Parade, held annually on May 9, commemorates the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany in World War II. The 2025 parade marks the 80th anniversary of this event and is expected to be attended by numerous foreign dignitaries, including Chinese President Xi Jinping and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. (apnews.com)

In the days leading up to the parade, Moscow has experienced a series of drone attacks attributed to Ukrainian forces, raising security concerns. Russian authorities have implemented heightened security measures, including enhanced air defense systems and the disruption of mobile networks, to safeguard the event. (reuters.com)