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MANIFOLD
Will temperatures in Berlin, Germany, reach 40°C this summer?
2
Ṁ1kṀ65
Aug 31
48%
chance

This market resolves YES if the Meteostat historical weather data for the Berlin / Dahlem weather station (Meteostat station ID: 10381, WMO: 10381) reports a daily maximum temperature of at least 40.0°C between 1 June 2026 and 31 August 2026 (inclusive).

It resolves NO if no such daily maximum temperature is reported during that period.

The Meteostat historical weather page for Berlin / Dahlem is the sole resolution source. If Meteostat is permanently unavailable at the time of resolution, the corresponding official DWD data for the Berlin-Dahlem station shall be used.

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I chose Berlin Dahlem because it is often chosen as the representative weather station for Berlin. The station provides weather data since the beginning of the 20th century