Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, is formally arrested by any law enforcement agency between June 9, 2025, and June 15, 2025, inclusive. Verification of such an event will be based on credible news reports from reputable sources. If no such arrest occurs within this timeframe, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

On June 9, 2025, President Donald Trump suggested that Governor Gavin Newsom should be arrested, citing alleged obstruction of federal immigration enforcement efforts. This statement followed remarks by Trump's border enforcement official, Tom Homan, who threatened to arrest individuals hindering immigration enforcement in California, including Newsom and Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass. Both officials had previously criticized Trump's decision to deploy National Guard troops to Los Angeles amid ongoing protests. In response, Governor Newsom condemned Trump's comment, stating that it marked a dangerous shift toward authoritarianism and emphasized the importance of upholding democratic norms, regardless of political affiliation. (reuters.com)