Will the critically endangered Mexican Wolf population in the southwestern US reach 300+ wolves in their 2023 census?
5
28
148
2025
35%
chance

The Mexican Wolf (Canis lupus baileyi) is a critically endangered subspecies of the gray wolf native to the southwestern United States and Mexico. Historically, Mexican wolves ranged across Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, and northern Mexico. However, due to habitat destruction, predator control programs, and other factors, their population declined dramatically.

In 1998, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) initiated a Mexican Wolf Reintroduction Program in collaboration with various partners, including state wildlife agencies, tribes, and conservation organizations.

The annual report for 2023 has not yet been released but should be soon.

This market will resolve when the 2023 report has been released. If the population is 300 or greater, it will resolve YES. Otherwise, NO.

Annual report for 2022 reported a population just under 250 individuals. (https://www.fws.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Mexican-Wolf-2022-Progress-Report-Final.pdf)

For more information on FWS conservation efforts: https://www.fws.gov/program/conserving-mexican-wolf

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