Does sentience require something more than just compute? (resolves based on 2100 consensus)
6
41
Ṁ168Ṁ150
2100
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if there is a requirement for sentience that cannot be emulated using classical computing (souls, quantum interactions impossible to simulate, and so on).
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
35% chance
Human whole brain emulation before 2100?
37% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
46% chance
Will 2100 wipe out humanity by AI?
22% chance
Are any insects sentient?
57% chance
Will any rights be granted to a silicon-based intelligence before 2050?
60% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
36% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
50% chance
In 2100, will there be an expert consensus that aliens have been observed?
28% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
18% chance