In 2018 Bloomberg, generally known for high accuracy standards published a story about Chinese spy chips allegedly found in Super Micro servers: https://archive.is/n3X0v

Pretty much every major party named, from Amazon and Apple to government organizations, denied there is any truth to those claims.

In 2021 Bloomberg acknowledged the denials but doubled down on the claims and even expanded them: https://archive.is/ztLIr

This market resolves to YES or NO if I consider either answer more than 95% probable by the end of 2030, otherwise to my estimated probability then.