predict yes

Non-Predictive Profits

10

48

Ṁ1.2K

Ṁ210

resolved Dec 26

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Close date updated to 2455-12-26 12:59 pm

Get Ṁ200 play money

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will this question resolve as yes or no (resolves based on higher probability)

Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance

The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction.

Suspiciously specific predictions

Will the result of this prediction be "no"?

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I don't think this is improperly resolved, since Cimorene Blume never promised to resolve this YES. They provided bad financial advice, but I don't think we have a rule against that.

predicted YES

@Yev I agree. It can't be an improper resolution if no resolution criteria were stated.

predicted NO

ha! ha! suprise!

predicted YES

Yes!

bought Ṁ5 of YES

Okay, I'll do that.

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will this question resolve as yes or no (resolves based on higher probability)

Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance

The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction.

Suspiciously specific predictions

Will the result of this prediction be "no"?

Non-Predictive Profits questions

Will my all time profit be =>0 until 1st May 2024?

Related questions

The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction.

will this question resolve as yes or no (resolves based on higher probability)

Suspiciously specific predictions

Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance

Will the result of this prediction be "no"?