Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page.
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/past/?search=SpaceX
in June UTC.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated, but isn't having much success recently.)
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15 successfully done in first 28 days
0 more planned with dates on or before 30th
Possibly 2 planned for 1 July which makes it hard to do another before end of month.
JRTI is in port so likely to be doing one of launches on 1 July.
ASOG caught a booster earlier today, cannot see how it could do another in June
SLC-4E & OCISLY just used so unlikely to be ready for another June launch.
Seems pretty certain to be 15 but maybe not completely impossible for a launch can be moved 6 hours earlier than time we currently have. Not sure I will know when I am sure that it is impossible. If JRTI does not leave for a day, that might be sufficient but if it leaves soon ...
@ChristopherRandles I like monthly, it feels far enough out to have a good amount of uncertainty but not too far to predict exact numbers or tie up liquidity overmuch.