Number of Traders is figure displayed above graph.

Last similar claim ended with 15 traders 5 yes positions and 7 no positions, so if this claim ended similarly then %chance would have to be 76% or higher to resolve yes. A whale might push % chance up or down to make mana.

If this claim reached 20 traders and 6 yes positions, this might prevent a whale pushing %chance up but this situation might not last as the yes positions might decide to switch to a no position.