Sovereign nation publicly declares bitcoin reserves by 2030?
5
1kṀ1197
2029
74%
chance

Will any country’s central bank or monetary authority publicly disclose a net long Bitcoin reserve position ≥ 100 BTC on or before 2029-12-31, with documentation published on an official government or central-bank site?

Resolves YES if

• An official report/press release/financial statement from a central bank/monetary authority shows BTC held as reserves (not seized assets awaiting disposal).

• Position size ≥ 100 BTC at time of disclosure.

• Disclosure is hosted on an official .gov/.cb/.centralbank domain (or a digital equivalent clearly controlled by the authority).

Sources

Central bank annual reports/balance sheets; ministry of finance reserve statements; archived copies via gov websites + Bloomberg/IMF mirror as secondary confirmation.

Pitfalls handled

• SWFs don’t count (that’s sovereign, but not “reserves”).

• Confiscations don’t count unless explicitly reclassified as reserves.

• Leased, synthetic, or hedged-to-flat positions don’t count.

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